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May 19, 2017

Inflation Remains Steady at 1.6% for April, Retail Sales Surprise in March

Canada’s consumer inflation (CPI) remained unchanged at 1.6% in April. Only 2 of the eight components of CPI showed contraction.


May 12, 2017

US Retail Sales Rebound in April & Inflationary Pressures Reduce

US retail sales recovered in April, and the contraction of 0.2% in March was revised higher to growth of 0.1%. Headline retail sales increased 0.4% in April.


May 5, 2017

US Job Growth Rebounds, Unemployment Rate Hits 10-Year Low & Canadian Job Growth Slows

The US economy added jobs for the 79th consecutive month in April, continuing the longest ever job expansion phase in the history of the US economy.


April 27, 2017

First Quarter Results: Canadian & US GDP

Canadian GDP was flat in February as the manufacturing sector contracted by 0.3% and the expansion of 0.2% in the Services sector was just about enough to off-set this.


January 22, 2017

Trump: Canada & the loonie

Trump's America first protectionist policies are expected to have a significant implication to global trade. Canada will have to navigate some turbulent waters in the months ahead.

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FX Currency Forecasts

  2018
Currency Spot Q1a Q2 Q3 Q4
USD/CAD 1.3384 1.29 1.31 1.32 1.31
EUR/USD 1.1310 1.23 1.25 1.27 1.28
USD/JPY 113.4360 106 105 103 102
GBP/USD 1.2588 1.40 1.37 1.38 1.43
USD/MXN 20.2384 18.15 20.10 19.50 19.00
USD/CNY 6.9076 6.30 6.20 6.15 6.15
AUD/USD .7182 0.77 0.80 0.82 0.83
USD/INR 71.9204 65.20 64.30 64.00 63.80
EUR/CAD 1.5136 1.59 1.63 1.68 1.68
GBP/CAD 1.6847 1.81 1.79 1.82 1.87
CAD/JPY 84.7581 82 81 78 78

  2019
Currency Spot Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4
USD/CAD 1.3384 1.29 1.31 1.32 1.31
EUR/USD 1.1310 1.23 1.25 1.27 1.28
USD/JPY 113.4360 106 105 103 102
GBP/USD 1.2588 1.40 1.37 1.38 1.43
USD/MXN 20.2384 18.15 20.10 19.50 19.00
USD/CNY 6.9076 6.30 6.20 6.15 6.15
AUD/USD .7182 0.77 0.80 0.82 0.83
USD/INR 71.9204 65.20 64.30 64.00 63.80
EUR/CAD 1.5136 1.59 1.63 1.68 1.68
GBP/CAD 1.6847 1.81 1.79 1.82 1.87
CAD/JPY 84.7581 82 81 78 78
  2018 2019
Currency Spot Q1a Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4
USD/CAD 1.3384 1.29 1.31 1.32 1.31 1.28 1.29 1.31 1.30
EUR/USD 1.1310 1.23 1.25 1.27 1.28 1.29 1.29 1.30 1.32
USD/JPY 113.4360 106 105 103 102 102 102 101 100
GBP/USD 1.2588 1.40 1.37 1.38 1.43 1.45 1.47 1.48 1.52
USD/MXN 20.2384 18.15 20.10 19.50 19.00 18.80 18.80 18.50 19.00
USD/CNY 6.9076 6.30 6.20 6.15 6.15 6.10 6.10 6.00 6.00
AUD/USD .7182 0.77 0.80 0.82 0.83 0.85 0.86 0.86 0.85
USD/INR 71.9204 65.20 64.30 64.00 63.80 63.50 63.30 63.30 62.00
EUR/CAD 1.5136 1.59 1.63 1.68 1.68 1.65 1.66 1.70 1.72
GBP/CAD 1.6847 1.81 1.79 1.82 1.87 1.86 1.89 1.94 1.97
CAD/JPY 84.7581 82 81 78 78 80 78 77 77

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